Betting on history

I bet on baseball last night. I bet $20 that Barry Bonds will break (or at least tie) Hank Aaron's all-time home run record on Saturday, August 4, in San Diego.

Just to be clear, I don't like Bonds and would love nothing more than for his career to end (how're those knees holding up, Barry?) before he can break Aaron's record. However, that isn't going to happen so I checked the Giants schedule and did the math. The Giants have played 87 games this year, and Bonds has 17 home runs, which means he hits one approximately every 5 games. That August 4 game is 21 games away, and Bonds is four away from tying Aaron's record, five from breaking it. If Bonds' average holds, that's about right.

So I bought a $20 ticket in the lower right-field bleachers, which is the area where the lion's share of Bonds' home runs land. You know, just in case. I'm not above punching a 10-year-old to snag a ball that will be worth the equivalent of 30 times my yearly salary.

And I realize the odds of Bonds hitting the magic number in that exact game is slim despite the averages, but I'll still get to boo a guy who either is about to break or just has broken one of sports' most revered records.

• Posted by Brian at 1:03 PM
• Comments (2)
• Category: Sports